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Count positive correlation for overlapping ternary full guards (no κ) - #4806

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petalas:research/w6-1022h-overlap-ranktwo
Oct 23, 2026
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Mister-Meeseeks merged 1 commit into
CrocSwap:mainfrom
petalas:research/w6-1022h-overlap-ranktwo

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@petalas petalas commented Oct 22, 2026 •

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Summary

Exact finite certificate with a written counting reduction. For complete uniform GL4(F3) headers and the fixed commuting rank-two requests

P = diag(0,1,0,1), Q = diag(0,0,1,1),
Pr(both full guards) = 2409984/24261120 = 523/5265,
Pr(each full guard) = 361/1170,
Covariance = 523/5265 - (361/1170)^2 = 5659/1368900 > 0.

Full guards require both leading principal minors of orders one and two to be nonzero. The result applies to the entire simultaneous-conjugacy class with joint-sector dimensions (1,1,1,1). It supplies an explicit positive-correlation example outside the orthogonal and corank-one cases, plus a new seven-type residual distribution for state-aware recursion. No new kappa, supplier admission or selected-frontier change.

Only the five-file research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary/ package is added. This contribution was produced by Nick Petalas. Credit ssafwann #4678, Mihir Srivastava #4689, codyw912 #4735 and MatShep #4762 for the residual-state questions/framework; Nick Petalas #4240/#4259/#4228/#4278 for the terminal counting and Schur lineage; Ryanson Jonathan, lee-phys, Cinna Davis, source527, commdata2338 and Jose Manuel for the retained context. Exact main-source provenance is pinned; no predecessor executable is imported or audited.

Advance CLAIM. Canonical base is 624de9d, priority revision 7. TASK.json explicitly changes formal-interface-lemma to this algebraic side question. The delivered scope is the first exact finite result, with the field-uniform law left open.

Evidence

Before, the nonlaminar full-guard direction and state-aware continuation question leave this ternary profile uncounted. After, the verifier enumerates its complete two-stage split domain, retains actual residual multiplicities and proves positive covariance from exact counts.

  • All 2,160 first split pairs and all 234 second split pairs give 505,440 two-stage paths. The successful path totals are 155,952 for either marginal and 50,208 jointly. Each has exactly 48 complete-header continuations, by the written basis bijection.
  • The 882 jointly admitted first splits reach seven occupied ordered residual types. Every initial split's terminal count is evaluated directly; the total does not assume a sufficient state invariant or generate events from a predecessor formula.
  • All 19,683 ternary three-by-three matrices are scanned to obtain GL3. Seven complete continuation fibres give 78,624 direct checks of the original requests' one-by-one and two-by-two minors, without Schur complements. This corroborates each occupied type, rather than claiming a raw 24-million-header scan.
  • An alternate kernel basis preserves all 882 residual types. Eight controls cover singularity, invalid splits, zero pivots, insufficient commutator-only states, first/full guard confusion, a missing completion multiplier and the full denominator.
  • Warning-strict normal and optimized runs pass on CPython 3.12.15 / macOS 27.0.1 arm64, at about 1.27 seconds each. Every check remains enabled under -O. Both registered commands pass in about 2.8 seconds total, under separate 120-second caps. These are check durations.
  • The exact five committed package files and source-history ancestry pass at b9d5385. Official committed-export integrity and a Git-free optimized replay with an empty PATH pass; all six exported files, including the export receipt, remain unchanged. Generated verifier receipts bind every package file; no receipt is handwritten.
  • Syntax/function-size inspection passes, with a maximum of 28 physical lines. Fixed domains bound every loop and live collection. The managed Python allocation deviation is documented. An external static analyzer is unavailable; warning-strict execution and package validation ran.

From the repository root:

/Users/nick/git/integer-mult-bounds/.venv/bin/python3.12 -W error -B research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary/verify.py
/Users/nick/git/integer-mult-bounds/.venv/bin/python3.12 -W error -O -B research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary/verify.py
/Users/nick/git/integer-mult-bounds/.venv/bin/python3.12 -B scripts/research_package.py --package research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary
/Users/nick/git/integer-mult-bounds/.venv/bin/python3.12 -B scripts/check_research_commit.py --package research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary --check-source-history

Expected markers are PASS_RANKTWO_OVERLAP_TERNARY, PASS_REGISTERED_RESEARCH_PACKAGE and PASS_RESEARCH_COMMIT_BYTES. Another CPython 3.12 interpreter may replace the local path. The standalone verifier uses only the standard library, writes no files and runs without Git; provenance and source-history validation need Git history.

Limitations and unrun obligations

This is one exact finite field/profile result, extended across its fixed conjugacy class by a written bijection. Other fields, profiles, weighted/restricted header covers and adaptive requests are outside scope. No actual producer or paid header selection/emission, physical reads, dirty restoration, stock, dispatch or complete consumer invoice is provided. No physical supplier or complete multiplication theorem is claimed.

Independent human and formal proof-kernel review are unclaimed. Lean, Docker and selected scientific cold replay were not run. Every registered local command ran and passed. The card's historical baseline fails with KeyError 'bit_lower' on the selected schema; its documented replacement research_selected_baseline.py passes source-binding orientation, which is separate from this scientific count.

Related open work

Before DONE, this account's open PRs created since the CLAIM at 2026-10-22 20:14:46 UTC were refreshed. Nine were returned, including this PR. The related #4801/#4803 source heads are unchanged, and the new #4807 body was read. The 306-split numerical agreement with #4801 remains as recorded above. The remaining new PRs #4804/#4805/#4808/#4809/#4810 study right-vector costs or coefficient-algebra populations, rather than this full-guard count. No conflicting overlapping number was found within this coverage.

These bodies and the current related claims were read. Main/merged searches checked the exact fraction, count, object and formula terms before committing. The final complete remote snapshot covered 326 open PR bodies and 3,754 Discussion records. Sparse local-note coverage, arbitrary code diffs and unpublished work remain limitations; no universal novelty claim is made.

Open next questions

  1. Determine the field-uniform law for this four-sector pair, beginning with symbolic residual-type multiplicities. The known terminal rank-one laws do not supply that distribution.
  2. Use the factor invariant to obtain actual transitions for one larger nonlaminar profile. Transition multiplicities and a fully paid physical header cover remain separate obligations.

CI notes

Both hosted checks passed on contribution head b9d5385b18cd2ee7353badd96b2c5da62ccd3294 in Registered research packages run 39848211444: plan in 3m5s and the registered research/ranktwo-overlap-ternary replay in 1m19s. Run metadata confirms this exact head and conclusion success. The registered replay executes both normal and optimized verification commands. Local registered checks, committed-byte/source-history preflight, official export integrity and Git-free replay also pass. Hosted CI certifies execution of these scoped package checks; independent human and formal proof-kernel acceptance remain unclaimed.

Merge danger

Door: two-way. Blast radius: package. This isolated research addition changes no shared implementation, frozen evidence, predecessor attribution or selected-frontier file.

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2 participants